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| Acceso al texto completo restringido a Biblioteca INIA Las Brujas. Por información adicional contacte bibliolb@inia.org.uy. |
Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Las Brujas; INIA Treinta y Tres. |
Fecha : |
12/11/2015 |
Actualizado : |
09/10/2019 |
Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
Autor : |
MARCAIDA, M.; ASSENG, S.; EWERT, F.; BASSU, S.; DURAND, J.L.; LI, T.; MARTRE, P.; ADAM, M.; AGGARWAL, P.K.; ANGULO, C.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BERTUZZI, P.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; BOOTE, K.J.; BOUMAN, B.; BREGAGLIO, S.; BRISSON, N.; BUIS, S.; CAMMARANO, D.; CHALLINOR, A.J.; CONFALONIERI, R.; CONIJN, J.G.; CORBEELS, M.; DERYNG, D.; DE SANCTIS, G.; DOLTRA, J.; FUMOTO, T.; GAYDON, D.; GAYLER, S.; GOLDBERG, R.; GRANT, R.F.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.L.; HASEGAWA, T.; HENG, L.; HOEK, S.; HOOKER, J.; HUNT, L.A.; INGWERSEN, J.; IZAURRALDE, R.C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.E.E.; JONES, J.W.; KEMANIAN, R.A.; KERSEBAUM, K.C.; KIM, S.-H.; LIZASO, J.; MÜLLER, C.; NAKAGAWA, H.; NARESH KUMAR, S.; NENDEL, C.; O'LEARY, G.J.; OLESEN, J.E.; ORIOL, P.; OSBORNE, T.M.; PALOSUO, T.; PRAVIA, V.; PRIESACK, E.; RIPOCHE, D.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; RUGET, F.; SAU, F.; SEMENOV, M.A.; SHCHERBAK, I.; SINGH, B.; SINGH, U.; SOO, H.K.; STEDUTO, P.; STÖCKLE, C.; STRATONOVITCH, P.; STRECK, T.; SUPIT, I.; TANG, L.; TAO, F.; TEIXEIRA, E.I.; THORBURN, P.; TIMLIN, D.; TRAVASSO, M.; RÖTTER, R.P.; WAHA, K.; WALLACH, D.; WHITE, J.W.; WILKENS, P.; WILLIAMS, J.R.; WOLF, J.; YIN, X.; YOSHIDA, H.; ZHANG, Z.; ZHU, Y. |
Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay. |
Título : |
A statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration. |
Fecha de publicación : |
2015 |
Fuente / Imprenta : |
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2015, v.214-215, p. 483-493. |
ISSN : |
0168-1923 |
DOI : |
10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.013 |
Idioma : |
Inglés |
Notas : |
Article history: Received 6 March 2015 / Received in revised form 29 July 2015 / Accepted 20 September 2015 / Available online 1 October 2015. |
Contenido : |
ABSTRACT.
Ensembles of process-based crop models are increasingly used to simulate crop growth for scenariosof temperature and/or precipitation changes corresponding to different projections of atmospheric CO2concentrations. This approach generates large datasets with thousands of simulated crop yield data. Suchdatasets potentially provide new information but it is difficult to summarize them in a useful way due totheir structural complexities. An associated issue is that it is not straightforward to compare crops and tointerpolate the results to alternative climate scenarios not initially included in the simulation protocols.Here we demonstrate that statistical models based on random-coefficient regressions are able to emulateensembles of process-based crop models. An important advantage of the proposed statistical models isthat they can interpolate between temperature levels and between CO2concentration levels, and canthus be used to calculate temperature and [CO2] thresholds leading to yield loss or yield gain, without re-running the original complex crop models. Our approach is illustrated with three yield datasets simulatedby 19 maize models, 26 wheat models, and 13 rice models. Several statistical models are fitted to thesedatasets, and are then used to analyze the variability of the yield response to [CO2] and temperature.Based on our results, we show that, for wheat, a [CO2] increase is likely to outweigh the negative effectof a temperature increase of +2◦C in the considered sites. Compared to wheat, required levels of [CO2]increase are much higher for maize, and intermediate for rice. For all crops, uncertainties in simulatingclimate change impacts increase more with temperature than with elevated [CO2].
© 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. MenosABSTRACT.
Ensembles of process-based crop models are increasingly used to simulate crop growth for scenariosof temperature and/or precipitation changes corresponding to different projections of atmospheric CO2concentrations. This approach generates large datasets with thousands of simulated crop yield data. Suchdatasets potentially provide new information but it is difficult to summarize them in a useful way due totheir structural complexities. An associated issue is that it is not straightforward to compare crops and tointerpolate the results to alternative climate scenarios not initially included in the simulation protocols.Here we demonstrate that statistical models based on random-coefficient regressions are able to emulateensembles of process-based crop models. An important advantage of the proposed statistical models isthat they can interpolate between temperature levels and between CO2concentration levels, and canthus be used to calculate temperature and [CO2] thresholds leading to yield loss or yield gain, without re-running the original complex crop models. Our approach is illustrated with three yield datasets simulatedby 19 maize models, 26 wheat models, and 13 rice models. Several statistical models are fitted to thesedatasets, and are then used to analyze the variability of the yield response to [CO2] and temperature.Based on our results, we show that, for wheat, a [CO2] increase is likely to outweigh the negative effectof a temperature increase of +2◦C in... Presentar Todo |
Palabras claves : |
Climate change; CROP MODEL; Emulator; MAIZE; Meta-model; MODELIZACIÓN DE LOS CULTIVOS; RICE; Statistical model; WHEAT; Yield. |
Thesagro : |
ARROZ; CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO; MAÍZ; MODELOS ESTADISTICOS; TRIGO. |
Asunto categoría : |
A50 Investigación agraria |
Marc : |
LEADER 05363naa a2201417 a 4500 001 1053856 005 2019-10-09 008 2015 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 022 $a0168-1923 024 7 $a10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.09.013$2DOI 100 1 $aMARCAIDA, M. 245 $aA statistical analysis of three ensembles of crop model responses to temperature and CO2 concentration. 260 $c2015 500 $aArticle history: Received 6 March 2015 / Received in revised form 29 July 2015 / Accepted 20 September 2015 / Available online 1 October 2015. 520 $aABSTRACT. Ensembles of process-based crop models are increasingly used to simulate crop growth for scenariosof temperature and/or precipitation changes corresponding to different projections of atmospheric CO2concentrations. This approach generates large datasets with thousands of simulated crop yield data. Suchdatasets potentially provide new information but it is difficult to summarize them in a useful way due totheir structural complexities. An associated issue is that it is not straightforward to compare crops and tointerpolate the results to alternative climate scenarios not initially included in the simulation protocols.Here we demonstrate that statistical models based on random-coefficient regressions are able to emulateensembles of process-based crop models. An important advantage of the proposed statistical models isthat they can interpolate between temperature levels and between CO2concentration levels, and canthus be used to calculate temperature and [CO2] thresholds leading to yield loss or yield gain, without re-running the original complex crop models. Our approach is illustrated with three yield datasets simulatedby 19 maize models, 26 wheat models, and 13 rice models. Several statistical models are fitted to thesedatasets, and are then used to analyze the variability of the yield response to [CO2] and temperature.Based on our results, we show that, for wheat, a [CO2] increase is likely to outweigh the negative effectof a temperature increase of +2◦C in the considered sites. Compared to wheat, required levels of [CO2]increase are much higher for maize, and intermediate for rice. For all crops, uncertainties in simulatingclimate change impacts increase more with temperature than with elevated [CO2]. © 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 650 $aARROZ 650 $aCAMBIO CLIMÁTICO 650 $aMAÍZ 650 $aMODELOS ESTADISTICOS 650 $aTRIGO 653 $aClimate change 653 $aCROP MODEL 653 $aEmulator 653 $aMAIZE 653 $aMeta-model 653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE LOS CULTIVOS 653 $aRICE 653 $aStatistical model 653 $aWHEAT 653 $aYield 700 1 $aASSENG, S. 700 1 $aEWERT, F. 700 1 $aBASSU, S. 700 1 $aDURAND, J.L. 700 1 $aLI, T. 700 1 $aMARTRE, P. 700 1 $aADAM, M. 700 1 $aAGGARWAL, P.K. 700 1 $aANGULO, C. 700 1 $aBARON, C. 700 1 $aBASSO, B. 700 1 $aBERTUZZI, P. 700 1 $aBIERNATH, C. 700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H. 700 1 $aBOOTE, K.J. 700 1 $aBOUMAN, B. 700 1 $aBREGAGLIO, S. 700 1 $aBRISSON, N. 700 1 $aBUIS, S. 700 1 $aCAMMARANO, D. 700 1 $aCHALLINOR, A.J. 700 1 $aCONFALONIERI, R. 700 1 $aCONIJN, J.G. 700 1 $aCORBEELS, M. 700 1 $aDERYNG, D. 700 1 $aDE SANCTIS, G. 700 1 $aDOLTRA, J. 700 1 $aFUMOTO, T. 700 1 $aGAYDON, D. 700 1 $aGAYLER, S. 700 1 $aGOLDBERG, R. 700 1 $aGRANT, R.F. 700 1 $aGRASSINI, P. 700 1 $aHATFIELD, J.L. 700 1 $aHASEGAWA, T. 700 1 $aHENG, L. 700 1 $aHOEK, S. 700 1 $aHOOKER, J. 700 1 $aHUNT, L.A. 700 1 $aINGWERSEN, J. 700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, R.C. 700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R.E.E. 700 1 $aJONES, J.W. 700 1 $aKEMANIAN, R.A. 700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, K.C. 700 1 $aKIM, S.-H. 700 1 $aLIZASO, J. 700 1 $aMÜLLER, C. 700 1 $aNAKAGAWA, H. 700 1 $aNARESH KUMAR, S. 700 1 $aNENDEL, C. 700 1 $aO'LEARY, G.J. 700 1 $aOLESEN, J.E. 700 1 $aORIOL, P. 700 1 $aOSBORNE, T.M. 700 1 $aPALOSUO, T. 700 1 $aPRAVIA, V. 700 1 $aPRIESACK, E. 700 1 $aRIPOCHE, D. 700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C. 700 1 $aRUANE, A.C. 700 1 $aRUGET, F. 700 1 $aSAU, F. 700 1 $aSEMENOV, M.A. 700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I. 700 1 $aSINGH, B. 700 1 $aSINGH, U. 700 1 $aSOO, H.K. 700 1 $aSTEDUTO, P. 700 1 $aSTÖCKLE, C. 700 1 $aSTRATONOVITCH, P. 700 1 $aSTRECK, T. 700 1 $aSUPIT, I. 700 1 $aTANG, L. 700 1 $aTAO, F. 700 1 $aTEIXEIRA, E.I. 700 1 $aTHORBURN, P. 700 1 $aTIMLIN, D. 700 1 $aTRAVASSO, M. 700 1 $aRÖTTER, R.P. 700 1 $aWAHA, K. 700 1 $aWALLACH, D. 700 1 $aWHITE, J.W. 700 1 $aWILKENS, P. 700 1 $aWILLIAMS, J.R. 700 1 $aWOLF, J. 700 1 $aYIN, X. 700 1 $aYOSHIDA, H. 700 1 $aZHANG, Z. 700 1 $aZHU, Y. 773 $tAgricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2015$gv.214-215, p. 483-493.
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INIA Las Brujas (LB) |
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Tacuarembó. |
Fecha actual : |
04/04/2016 |
Actualizado : |
10/10/2018 |
Tipo de producción científica : |
Poster |
Autor : |
GLISON, N.; GONZÁLEZ BARRIOS, P.; CORREA, E.; VIEGA, L.; SALDANHA, S.; REYNO, R.; MUSACCHIO, E.; RUSH, P.; SCHRAUF, G.; SPERANZA, P. |
Afiliación : |
UNIVERSIDAD DE LA REPÚBLICA (UDELAR)/ FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA; UNIVERSIDAD DE LA REPÚBLICA (UDELAR)/ FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA; UNIVERSIDAD DE LA REPÚBLICA (UDELAR)/ FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA; UNIVERSIDAD DE LA REPÚBLICA (UDELAR)/ FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA; RAFAEL ALEJANDRO REYNO PODESTA, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA, UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES.; FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA, UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES.; FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA, UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES.; UNIVERSIDAD DE LA REPÚBLICA (UDELAR)/ FACULTAD DE AGRONOMÍA. |
Título : |
Responses of seedling emergence of three Paspalum species to environmental factors. [Poster]. |
Fecha de publicación : |
2015 |
Fuente / Imprenta : |
In: International Symposium of Forage Breeding (5., Buenos Aires, AR), 19-21 Octubre, 2015. |
Idioma : |
Inglés |
Contenido : |
In the warm-temperate regions of Uruguay and Argentina, the adoption of warm-season perennial grasses has been very limited. Slow and unpredictable establishment has been perceived as one of the most limiting factors for their use either as pure stands or in mixtures with cool season grasses. Among the best studied species are P. dilatatum and related species and P. notatum. In this study we analyzed a network of locations and sowing dates to understand the responses of single clone or inbred line of P. dilatatum cv. Chirú (Chirú), P. dilatatum ssp. flavescens (Flav), P. urvillei (Urv) and P. notatum (Not) to environmental factors and determine appropriate sowing dates. |
Thesagro : |
ARGENTINA; PASPALUM; PASTURAS; URUGUAY. |
Asunto categoría : |
-- |
URL : |
http://www.ainfo.inia.uy/digital/bitstream/item/5610/1/POSTER-ISFB-2015-Glison-et-al.pdf
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Marc : |
LEADER 01445nam a2200265 a 4500 001 1054585 005 2018-10-10 008 2015 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 100 1 $aGLISON, N. 245 $aResponses of seedling emergence of three Paspalum species to environmental factors. [Poster].$h[electronic resource] 260 $aIn: International Symposium of Forage Breeding (5., Buenos Aires, AR), 19-21 Octubre$c2015 520 $aIn the warm-temperate regions of Uruguay and Argentina, the adoption of warm-season perennial grasses has been very limited. Slow and unpredictable establishment has been perceived as one of the most limiting factors for their use either as pure stands or in mixtures with cool season grasses. Among the best studied species are P. dilatatum and related species and P. notatum. In this study we analyzed a network of locations and sowing dates to understand the responses of single clone or inbred line of P. dilatatum cv. Chirú (Chirú), P. dilatatum ssp. flavescens (Flav), P. urvillei (Urv) and P. notatum (Not) to environmental factors and determine appropriate sowing dates. 650 $aARGENTINA 650 $aPASPALUM 650 $aPASTURAS 650 $aURUGUAY 700 1 $aGONZÁLEZ BARRIOS, P. 700 1 $aCORREA, E. 700 1 $aVIEGA, L. 700 1 $aSALDANHA, S. 700 1 $aREYNO, R. 700 1 $aMUSACCHIO, E. 700 1 $aRUSH, P. 700 1 $aSCHRAUF, G. 700 1 $aSPERANZA, P.
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